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| Albert who? |
The Cardinals have had a very successful season, and may win one of the wildcard spots this year. After losing Albert Pujols last winter, most of us thought that the Cardinals would start to go in a free fall in the NL Central, but they definitely haven't done that in 2012. Their pitching has kept them in games, and their offense is lead by Carlos Beltran and Matt Holliday. The Cardinals may be a good ball-club this year, but as their players are getting older, will they be good in the next 5 years or so?
Like I said before, the pitching has been a strength for St. Louis this year. Adam Wainwright has had a nice bounce-back season, and Kyle Lohse is pitching like Cy Young at the moment, without the strikeout ratio of-course. But, looking into the future, Lohse will probably leave via free agency this winter. I believe that Wainwright will stay, and eventually sign an extension to be their ace. The Cardinals also have Jake Westbrook, who recently signed a contract extension. He will not be with the club when his contract expires, but is a good #4 starter right now. Joe Kelly has been a nice surprise this year, and has a future in St. Louis. He has been used mostly in the starter's role, so look for him to be in the rotation in 2013 and beyond. Jaime Garcia has had a decent season, but is still young and we all know what he can do when healthy. He is definitely a keeper. The Cardinals actually have a good amount of pitching prospects, most notably Shelby Miller. Miller is having a rough year in the minors, but will get a brief stint with the big league club this month as an audition for next year. Other pitching prospects include: Carlos Martinez, Trevor Rosenthal, Michael Wacha, Tyrell Jenkins, John Gast, and Scott Gorgen. I believe there is one more name that I have not yet mentioned. That name is Chris Carpenter. Carpenter has missed all of the 2012 season, but will supposedly make a few starts in the final weeks of this season. If he can come back healthy in 2013, I expect him to perform well. However, I don't see him as a future piece in the rotation because 1) there is going to be a lot of competition, and 2) he is getting older and less durable.
The Cardinals' bull-pen has been solid this year, and I believe that most of the current members will be with the team for the next few years. Jason Motte has had an underrated season, and Mitchell Boggs is pitching like an elite setup man. In other words, the bullpen will not be a problem for the Cardinals.
Now, St. Louis' hitting has been good for the most part this season, but I wouldn't be surprised if we see some minor upgrades happening over the next few years. Yadier Molina is obviously a keeper, because of the fact that he is their cornerstone player and just signed an extension that will keep him through his prime years of his career. Allen Craig is over at first base, and I'm not sure if that is the right position for him. Craig is a great hitter, but can never seem to find a position that lets him play everyday. Obviously when Pujols left, Craig got the chance to step in and get some playing time, but he currently has some competition. Matt Carpenter is having a nice rookie year, and is about the same age as Craig. St. Louis also had Lance Berkman, who is now out for the rest of the season following yet another knee surgery. I'd be surprised if the Cardinals brought back Berkman, as he is clearly not part of their future due to injury problems. A name that catches my eye is Matt Adams, who is currently hitting well in the minor leagues. Adams has had a brief stint with the Cardinals this year, and succeeded. I believe that Adams will ultimately get the first base job, and we'll see either Carpenter or Craig getting traded to upgrade a different position. At second base, there is Skip Schumaker, who is a fantastic bench player, but is not the future second baseman. He has had a few nice years with St. Louis, and still continues to hit well, but eventually his age will catch up to him and he will get replaced by top prospect Kolten Wong. Wong is very young and has a lot of raw talent. He actually may be ready to join the Cardinals by the 2013 season, so look for him to take over the second base job. At shortstop, they currently have Daniel Descalso playing there everyday due to Rafael Furcal's season ending injury. Descalso is very versatile, but cannot hit at the MLB level. Look for him to get replaced, either by a free agent signing or by prospect Ryan Jackson, who is almost ready for the big leagues. At third base, its obvious that the Cardinals are going to keep David Freese. Freese will be manning the hot corner for the next few years, even though I believe that he shouldn't. In my opinion, and I realize that many of you disagree, he is injury prone and the Cardinals should trade him while his value is high. St. Louis also has prospect Carson Kelly waiting under him on the depth chart, but Kelly is very young and will need a lot of time to develop. As for the outfield situation, its a lot more straightforward than that of the infield. Matt Holliday will be in left field until his contract expires, and same with Carlos Beltran. Jon Jay will be their center-fielder for years to come, and will develop every year. However, that day will come when Beltran and Holliday are off of the team and the club will have to look to its farm system to find replacements. The Cardinals are lucky, because they have some good outfield prospects. They have Oscar Taveras (#1 prospect in organization), Charlie Tilson, James Ramsey, and C.J. McElroy. I would imagine that at least one of these players will get the starting job in the outfield down the road.
Overall, the future of the Cardinals doesn't look that bad. They have a nice amount of pitching depth, and can afford to trade one of their prospects if they need a big bat or two. Their bullpen is excellent, and their offense will only get better. Its definitely a good time to be a Cardinal fan right now.